Updated 23 August 2005

A Land Use and Land Cover Change Science Strategy

Summary of a Workshop held at the Smithsonian Institution Nov 19-21, 2003

Organized by the US Climate Change Science Program (CCSP) Land Use Interagency Working Group (LUIWG)

Edited by Richard Aspinall and Chris Justice

Table 1. Summary of Tasks and Estimated 10 year Program Costs.

Task	Interagency Integrative Pilot Projects	Schedule / Priority	Est.10 yr Cost
IIPP 1	Land Use and Carbon - Cross Element Workshops	Immediate / Immediate
IIPP 2	NRC Sponsored Model Review	Immediate / Immediate
IIPP 3	Community Land Use Model Development	Immediate 3 yrs / Immediate
			$ 2 M *
2	Characterizing Historic and Current LULCC
2.1	Improving specification of data requirements	2 yrs / Priority 1
2.5	Standardized data sets and models	6 yrs / Priority 1
2.3	Enhance ground-based observations	Ongoing / Priority 2
2.4	Improve access to land use data	Ongoing / Priority 2
2.6	Education and Training of LU scientists	Ongoing / Priority 2
2.7	Historical LULC data acquisition and access	6 yrs / Priority 2
			$40 M
3.	Understanding the Causes of LULCC
3.1	Causes and Projections of Change and potential interventions	Ongoing / Priority 1 / 2 yrs initial synthesis
3.2	Improving feedback between data, analysis and modeling	Ongoing / Priority 2 / 2yrs for initial workshops
3.3	Understanding of drivers and policies	Ongoing / Priority 2 / 2 yrs initial assessment
			$12.5 M
4	Projecting future LULCC
4.1	Inventory modeling methods (see IIPP2)	2 yrs / Priority 1
4.2	Develop predictive models	Ongoing / Priority 2
4.3	Develop the CLUC Model (see IIPP3)	5 yrs / Priority 1
			$40 M
5	LULCC and Climate Interactions
5.1	Assess and implement stakeholder oriented LU/Climate research	Ongoing / Priority 2
5.2	LU forcing and feedbacks on climate	Ongoing / Priority 2
5.3	Integrated interactions	Yrs 3-6 / Priority 2
			$40 M
6	Consequences of LCLUC
6.1	Research and workshops on LULCC and human health	Ongoing / Priority 2
6.2	Research on LULCC on food security and human vulnerability	Ongoing / Priority 2 / initial workshop year 2
6.3	Monitoring and analysis of LULCC and water quality and quantity	Ongoing / Priority 2 / initial workshop year 2
6.4	LULCC, Carbon Cycle and Ecosystems (see IIPP 1)	Ongoing / Priority 1
6.5	Land Management decision-making	Ongoing / Priority 2
			$30 M
	Est. Total Program Cost over 10 years		$162.5 M

* The estimated total cost of the IIPP’s is given but it should be noted that these costs are included in the task totals below.

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