Last updated Tuesday 20 June, 2000 0:33 hrs EST
 

An Assessment Prepared by a Task Group on Behalf of the World Health Organization, the World Meteorological Organization and the United Nations Environment Programme

Edited by A. J. McMichael, A. Haines, R. Slooff and S. Kovats

Climate Change and Human Health
FIGURE 1.1: Possible impacts of climate change and stratospheric ozone depletion on human healthHorizontal blue line.

The range of possible major types of health impact is shown in Figure 1.1. For ease of presentation, the impacts have been classified as "direct" and "indirect", according towhether they occur predominantly via the impact of a climate variable (such as temperature or extgreme weather events) upon human biology, or are mediated by climate-induced changes in other biological and geochemical systems.

Some relatively simple direct (and therefore more readily predictable) impacts of, for example, heatwaves, sotrms or rising seas could be anticipated. Via less direct pathways, changes in background climate may, for example, alter the distribution and behaviour of mosquitos and the life-cycle of the malarial parasite, so that malaris patterns change. Many other vector-borne diseases could be affected in a similar way. Climate change would also affect agricultural productivity, and could therefore influence nutritional status, hunger and health. More generally, the physical damagae, habitat loss and species depletion suffered by the marine and terrestrial ecosystems --- such as pastoral lands, ocean fisheries, and wetlands --- that maintain environmental services essential to sustained human health, may be exacerbated by climate change. The different aspects of climate change would of course vary in their relative importance for different health impacts. This is illustrated in Table 1.1 However, our knowledge in this area is incomplete.

The population-level dimension of the climate-health relationship must be emphasized. The scale of predicted climate change and its health impacts applies to whole populations or communities, rather than to small groups or individuals. So assessment of the health impact of climate change must focus on changes in the rates of death, disease or other health impairments in whole regions, populations and communities. This is not an environmental hazard for which risks can be differentiated and estimated at the individual or small group level.

 


 

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