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Updated 12 October, 2003

US National Assessment of
the Potential Consequences
of Climate Variability and Change
Stabilization Trends

 

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Figure 26: Patterns across the US of projected changes in the trends of temperature and precipitation for the 21st century assuming an emissions profile that moves toward stabilization of the CO2 concentration at 550 ppmv in the 22nd century as compared to the baseline case of business as usual (roughly case IS92a, except with reduced sulfur emissions in CSM). The projected differences are based on results from: a) NCAR CSM for annual mean temperature; b) PCM annual mean temperature: c) NCAR CSM annual average monthly precipitation; and d) PCM annual average monthly precipitation. Temperature trend differences are given oF per 100 years. Precipitation trend differences are given in percent, with both trends calculated using a 1980-1999 baseline.  Trends are a linear regression through each grid point.  Differences are the differences between the STA trend and the BAU.


 

CSM BAU temperatureCSM STA temperature
 
 

CSM STA-BAU temperature


CSM BAU precipitationCSM STA precipitation
 
 

CSM STA - BAU precipitation


PCM BAU temperaturePCM STA temperature
 
 

PCM STA - BAU temperature



PCM BAU precipitationPCM STA precipitation
 
 

PCM STA - BAU precipitation



 

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